Station Map for the Occultation by (59) Elpis at Tuesday, 2011 April 12 (~ 02:33 UT)
Magnitude of target star 2UCAC 27508035: 13.1 mag
UCAC instrumental „pseudo-R“ fit-model magnitude: 13.5 mag (data from UCAC3)
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 0.7 mag to 13.0 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid).
The max duration is expected to be 43.0 sec with a max drop of 0.7 mag.
The event will take place at an altitude of 31 deg and at azimuth 163 deg. The sun will be at an altitude of -23 deg. (At predicted centre line for latitude N 45 deg)
There is a 1 sigma uncertainty interval of ± 0.72 path widths.
The probabilities to see a positive event:
Centre line: ~ 51 %
Path limits: ~ 42 %
1 sigma lines: ~ 15 %
2 sigma lines: ~ 1 %
(Calculation according to Raymond Dusser, E.A.O.N. Circular #10)
PLEASE REMEMBER: Predictions are sometimes wrong. Please observe even with a small probability.
Let other observers know about you observing plans: Announce you station with OccultWatcher !
More information (coordinates, finder charts) at Steve Preston’s prediction:
Table of potential observing stations and cities with distance from center of predicted path (Derek C. Breit):
Good luck with your observation!